By Julien Strandt

« AI is radically transforming how National Security Intelligence is collected, processed, analyzed, and disseminated, although not in the same way for each of these steps. Drawing from Intelligence Theory and the concept of Revolution in Intelligence affairs, this paper aims to understand what factors are most likely to evolve in the nearer future, based on the concept of a “weak” AI capability (not fully sentient). It concludes that AI is going to greatly enhance the velocity and scale of intelligence through automation. On the other hand, rivals might be more inclined to disrupt and deceive each other’s intelligence processes, as machines increasingly spy on other machines. Strategic evolutions of the use of AI will fuel discussions on doctrine and ethics. »

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