By Giangiuseppe Pili

« Intelligence analysis is a core function of the intelligence process,and its goalis to synthesize reliable informationto assistdecision-makerstotakea course of action toward an uncertain future. There is no escape from uncertainty, friction, andthefog of war.Since the dawn of human history, the present moment has beenexperienced asunpredictable, and the challenge of determining the right future through sound decisions has always existed. Investing in new technology, continually touted as the answer for analytic troubles, seems far less difficult in the short runthan trying to find consensus about a long-term vision. It is easier to develop a nuclear missile, for example, thantogivea universal definition of peace, and this is what the history of the XX century was all about. While intelligence analysis is still a necessary tool fordecision-makers, it is unclear who or what will perform this function in the future. Though the solution cannot be only technological, the current trajectory tells a different story wherebythe human analysts are removed from their central positionto make way for Artificial Intelligence. »

https://journals.lib.sfu.ca/index.php/jicw/article/view/2566/2207

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